\u300a\u5367\u5e95\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\u5df2\u7ecf\u8bfb\u5b8c\u5f88\u4e45\u4e86\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u62d6\u7740\u6ca1\u6709\u6574\u7406\u7b14\u8bb0\u3002\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u91cc\u9762\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u6709\u610f\u601d\u3001\u6709\u542f\u53d1\u7684\u5c0f\u6bb5\u5b50\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u901a\u4fd7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u8bfb\u7269\u3002\u517b\u5206\u4e0a\u8bb2\u6bd4\u300a\u9b54\u9b3c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\u8981\u597d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7b2c\u4e00\u7ae0 \u4f60\u559d\u5496\u5561\uff0c\u8c01\u8d5a\u94b1\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n * \u9ed1\u5e2e\u9a6c\u4ed4\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u6210\u672c\u4e0e\u6536\u76ca 17\u9875<\/p>\n \u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u83b1\u7ef4\u7279(Steven Levitt)\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u5bb6\u82cf\u8fea\u57c3\u00b7\u6e29\u5361\u4ec0(Sudhir Venkatesh)\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f8e\u56fd\u8857\u5934\u9ed1\u5e2e\u7684\u8d26\u76ee\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u201c\u9a6c\u4ed4\u201d\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u53ea\u80fd\u7ed9\u5bb6\u91cc\u63231.7\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5347\u804c\u7684\u524d\u666f\u5f88\u597d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e2e\u6d3e\u6210\u5458\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u5f88\u5feb(\u7ecf\u5e38\u6709\u4eba\u79bb\u5f00\u6216\u88ab\u6740)\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u4f7f\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u5de5\u8d44\u6bcf\u5c0f\u65f6\u4e5f\u8fd8\u4e0d\u523010\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8fd9\u7b14\u94b1\u5b9e\u5728\u4e0d\u7b97\u591a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u57284\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u666e\u901a\u9ed1\u5e2e\u6210\u5458\u4f1a\u906d\u5230\u4e24\u6b21\u67aa\u51fb\u3001\u88ab\u63556\u6b21\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u88ab\u6740\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8fbe\u523025%\u3002<\/p>\n * \u6210\u7acb\u5de5\u4f1a\u7684\u76ee\u7684 18\u9875<\/p>\n \u6210\u7acb\u5de5\u4f1a\u7684\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u96c6\u4f53\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba8\u4ef7\u8fd8\u4ef7\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u4e3a\u9650\u6b62\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u8fdb\u5165\u8fd9\u4e00\u884c\u4e1a\u3002<\/p>\n \u5f5319\u4e16\u7eaa\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u673a\u68b0\u5316\u9010\u6e10\u666e\u53ca\u65f6\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5de5\u4f1a\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5c31\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5f3a\u70c8\u3002\u5de5\u4eba\u662f\u4e2a\u4eba\u6570\u4f17\u591a\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u76f8\u4e92\u66ff\u4ee3\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u5efa\u7acb\u5de5\u4f1a\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u5c31\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u3002\u6709\u4e86\u5de5\u4f1a\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u6392\u9664\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u4f7f\u5de5\u8d44\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e00\u5de5\u4f1a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u4eba\u5c31\u5f88\u5e78\u8fd0\u2018\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u5de5\u4f1a\u672c\u6765\u906d\u5230\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7684\u7275\u5236\uff1a\u53cd\u5784\u65ad\u6cd5\u7684\u7528\u610f\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u9632\u6b62\u5927\u516c\u53f8\u5408\u5e76\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u4e3a\u53cd\u5bf9\u5de5\u4f1a\u3002\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u653f\u6cbb\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6cd5\u5f8b\u88ab\u88c1\u51b3\u4e3a\u4e0d\u9002\u7528\uff0c\u5de5\u4f1a\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u56e0\u800c\u53d1\u5c55\u58ee\u5927\u8d77\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n * \u6392\u5916\u7684\u5de5\u4eba\u9636\u7ea7 20\u9875<\/p>\n \u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u8d23\u602a\u5de5\u4eba\u9636\u5c42\u56e0\u4e3a\u79cd\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u53cd\u5bf9\u79fb\u6c11\u3002\u7136\u800c\u66f4\u5177\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u662f\uff1a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u6839\u636e\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u884c\u4e8b\u3002\u65b0\u5de5\u4eba\u5bf9\u62e5\u6709\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u4eba\u6709\u597d\u5904\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u540e\u8005\u53d8\u5f97\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a00\u7f3a\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u662f\u8349\u7538\u8fd8\u662f\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u8001\u5de5\u4eba\u8ba8\u538c\u65b0\u5de5\u4eba\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u53d7\u65b0\u79fb\u6c11\u4f24\u5bb3\u6700\u5927\u7684\u662f\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u79fb\u6c11\u56e2\u4f53\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u540e\u8005\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u88ab\u56fa\u5b9a\u5728\u4e86\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n \u7b2c\u4e8c\u7ae0 \u8d85\u5e02\u5bf9\u4f60\u9690\u7792\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n * \u77db\u76fe\u7684\u9053\u5fb7 42\u9875<\/p>\n \u800c\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\u5374\u662f:\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u90a3\u89c6DVD\u4f01\u4e1a\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5e02\u573a\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u4ef7\u683c\u9500\u552e\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u53c8\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u5927\u578b\u5236\u836f\u516c\u53f8\u5e94\u4ee5\u4f4e\u4ef7\u5411\u8d2b\u56f0\u56fd\u5bb6\u4f9b\u5e94\u836f\u7269\u3002\u4ee4\u4eba\u56f0\u60d1\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u76f4\u89c9\u597d\u50cf\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u9001\u81ea\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n \u7b2c\u4e09\u7ae0 \u5b8c\u7f8e\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u201c\u771f\u8bdd\u4e16\u754c\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n * \u5766\u6851\u5c3c\u4e9a\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u7528\u5496\u5561\u8c46\u6ea2\u4ef7\u6536\u5165\u63d0\u9ad8\u516c\u52a1\u5458\u5de5\u8d44 54\u9875<\/p>\n \u5728\u5766\u6851\u5c3c\u4e9a\uff0c\u5496\u5561\u8c46\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u4e0d\u5904\u4e8e\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5496\u5561\u8c46\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\u540e\uff0c\u83b7\u76ca\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u519c\u6237\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u8be5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u672a\u80fd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ef7\u683c\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u6682\u65f6\u6027\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u667a\u7684\u82b1\u8d39\u8fd9\u7b14\u94b1\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u7528\u5b83\u4e3a\u516c\u52a1\u4eba\u5458\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u9ad8\u85aa\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n * \u65e0\u795e\u8bba\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u529f\u5229 57\u9875<\/p>\n \u5728\u82f1\u56fd\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u6559\u4f1a\u5b66\u6821\u5f80\u5f80\u53ef\u4ee5\u57f9\u517b\u51fa\u5b66\u4e60\u6210\u7ee9\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u5b66\u751f\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u65e0\u795e\u8bba\u8005\u6bcf\u4e2a\u793c\u62dc\u5929\u5e26\u5b50\u5973\u5230\u6559\u5802\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u7267\u5e08\u7684\u63a8\u8350\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u5165\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5b66\u6821\u3002<\/p>\n * \u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u53e3\u4e2d\u7684\u65e0\u6548\u72b6\u6001 58\u9875<\/p>\n \u8981\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u5f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u8bf4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5904\u4e8e\u65e0\u6548\u72b6\u6001\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\uff1a\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u635f\u5bb3\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4ee4\u67d0\u4e9b\u4eba\u53d7\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n * \u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u6709\u6548\u548c\u516c\u5e73\u662f\u77db\u76fe\u7684 59\u9875-60\u9875<\/p>\n 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\u5bcc\u5170\u514b\u6797\u00b7\u7f57\u65af\u798f\u603b\u7edf\u91c7\u752879%\u7684\u6240\u5f97\u7a0e\u7a0e\u7387\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u95e8\u69db\u975e\u5e38\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u53ea\u6709\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u6d1b\u514b\u83f2\u52d2\u4e00\u4eba\u9002\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u7a0e\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n \u2014\u2014\u6458\u81ea[\u82f1]\u8482\u59c6\u00b7\u54c8\u798f\u5fb7\uff1a\u300a\u5367\u5e95\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\uff0c\u4e2d\u4fe1\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c2006\u5e74<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u300a\u5367\u5e95\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\u5df2\u7ecf\u8bfb\u5b8c\u5f88\u4e45\u4e86\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u62d6\u7740\u6ca1\u6709\u6574\u7406\u7b14\u8bb0\u3002\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u91cc\u9762\u8fd8\u662f\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u6709\u610f\u601d\u3001\u6709\u542f\u53d1\u7684\u5c0f\u6bb5\u5b50\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u901a […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[660,674],"class_list":["post-205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-card","tag-660","tag-674"],"views":3264,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":262,"url":"https:\/\/kangjian.net\/blog\/262\/","url_meta":{"origin":205,"position":0},"title":"[\u82f1]\u8482\u59c6\u00b7\u54c8\u798f\u5fb7\uff1a\u300a\u5367\u5e95\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\u8bfb\u4e66\u7b14\u8bb0\uff083\uff09","author":"\u5eb7\u5065","date":"2008 \u5e74 7 \u6708 19 \u65e5","format":false,"excerpt":"\u672c\u6587\u662f\u300a\u5367\u5e95\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u300b\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u7b14\u8bb0\u7684\u524d\u4e24\u90e8\u5206\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff1a 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